Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.012622 0.015420 0.018962 0.023889 0.030752 0.040285 0.055144
2025-02-16 0.009207 0.012290 0.016740 0.023997 0.036362 0.058509 0.107243
2025-02-23 0.007434 0.010474 0.015240 0.023895 0.040996 0.078760 0.195161
2025-03-02 0.006135 0.008951 0.013616 0.022742 0.042860 0.095497 0.319157
2025-03-09 0.005308 0.007973 0.012593 0.022241 0.045750 0.118554 0.570252
2025-03-16 0.004806 0.007422 0.012168 0.022751 0.051439 0.159455 1.319686
2025-03-23 0.004360 0.006885 0.011635 0.022826 0.056122 0.207349 3.508939
2025-03-30 0.003894 0.006239 0.010758 0.021803 0.056878 0.240473 8.742832
2025-04-06 0.003551 0.005771 0.010155 0.021280 0.059127 0.291821 41.450482
2025-04-13 0.003349 0.005543 0.010006 0.021901 0.066278 0.412363 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003245 0.005487 0.010219 0.023608 0.079921 0.706386 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003122 0.005376 0.010284 0.024929 0.093808 1.231560 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002898 0.005061 0.009886 0.024903 0.102444 2.007253 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002705 0.004790 0.009559 0.025062 0.113652 3.817008 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002525 0.004525 0.009194 0.024956 0.123679 7.802382 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002322 0.004186 0.008585 0.023733 0.123436 11.948055 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002169 0.003942 0.008188 0.023201 0.129085 26.685134 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002072 0.003812 0.008067 0.023742 0.147153 242.608150 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001969 0.003656 0.007853 0.023821 0.161650 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001839 0.003427 0.007405 0.022737 0.160163 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001738 0.003256 0.007096 0.022184 0.165458 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001680 0.003180 0.007050 0.022841 0.191641 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001655 0.003180 0.007220 0.024651 0.248944 NaN NaN